Ayeyawady Unitedvs
Yadanarbon
COMPLETEDMyanmar · National League · 10/24/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yadanarbon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ayeyawady United 1-5 Yadanarbon
Original prediction
Yadanarbon
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.33 | 20.5% | 27.3% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 22.6% | 25.2% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 56.9% | 47.6% | -9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Yadanarbon
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Yadanarbon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60