Ayacucho FCvs
Union Comercio
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 10/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Union Comercio · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ayacucho FC 0-1 Union Comercio, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ayacucho FC 1-1 Union Comercio
Original prediction
Union Comercio
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.27 | 27.1% | 18.4% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.0% | 26.2% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 44.9% | 55.4% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.5 pts
Projected Score
Ayacucho FC 0–1 Union Comercio
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Union Comercio
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Union Comercio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20