Ayacucho FCvs
Minas
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Ayacucho FC 0-1 Minas, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Ayacucho FC 1-0 Minas
Original prediction
Minas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.0% | 27.5% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 29.3% | 29.5% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 33.6% | 43.0% | 9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.5 pts
Projected Score
Ayacucho FC 0–1 Minas
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Minas
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Minas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ayacucho FCLLWLW
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MinasWDWDW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Ayacucho FCMinas
39.6Attack52.1
56.3Defence75.0
39.6Form52.1
45.3Power58.7
0.64xG1.29