Ayacucho FCvs
Alianza Universidad
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 5/7/2023, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ayacucho FC are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.33 conceded, while Alianza Universidad are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Universidad hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/3.33
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 2.67/0.33