GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 5/7/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ayacucho FC are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.33 conceded, while Alianza Universidad are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Universidad hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ayacucho FCLLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/3.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Alianza UniversidadWWW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 2.67/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Ayacucho FCAlianza Universidad
27.8Attack39.4
72.2Defence66.7
44.4Form45.5
50.2Power52.5
0.59xG0.60
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