Awassa Kenemavs
Mekelakeya
COMPLETEDEthiopia · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Awassa Kenema 0-0 Mekelakeya, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Awassa Kenema 0-1 Mekelakeya
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.17 | 28.4% | 33.2% | 4.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 33.0% | 33.8% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.5% | 33.0% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
Awassa Kenema 0–0 Mekelakeya
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.8%
Model confidence
33.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Awassa KenemaNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
MekelakeyaNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Awassa KenemaMekelakeya
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
0.76xG0.64