Awassa Kenemavs
Ethiopian Medhin
COMPLETEDEthiopia · Premier League · 10/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Awassa Kenema 0-0 Ethiopian Medhin, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Awassa Kenema 1-1 Ethiopian Medhin
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 33.9% | 30.5% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 32.7% | 33.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.5% | 36.0% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.73 · Draw 1.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Projected Score
Awassa Kenema 0–0 Ethiopian Medhin
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.5%
Model confidence
36.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Awassa KenemaL
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Ethiopian MedhinWLDLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Awassa KenemaEthiopian Medhin
0.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power88.7
0.59xG0.80