Awassa Kenemavs
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
COMPLETEDEthiopia · Premier League · 10/22/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Awassa Kenema 0-0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Awassa Kenema 1-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 31.2% | 29.3% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.56 | 35.1% | 34.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.6% | 35.8% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.56 · Draw 1.56 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Projected Score
Awassa Kenema 0–0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Awassa KenemaDL
GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00
BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Ethiopia Nigd BankWWLLD
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Awassa KenemaEthiopia Nigd Bank
16.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power83.3
0.55xG0.74