Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AVS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: AVS 1-0 Feirense, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
AVS 2-0 Feirense
Original prediction
AVS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 40.3% | 58.6% | 18.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 30.0% | 24.8% | -5.2 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.7% | 16.7% | -13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.2 pts
Projected Score
AVS 1–0 Feirense
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
AVS
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
AVS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AVSDDLDW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FeirenseLLDDD
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AVSFeirense
49.0Attack31.5
66.7Defence53.7
62.7Form31.5
61.4Power41.2
1.55xG0.54