Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AVS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
AVS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Feirense are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AVS hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (61.4 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.3% in the Segunda Liga, while AVS holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AVS
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
18.3%
AVS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00