GGOALVIO

Portugal · Segunda Liga · 8/12/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AVS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

AVS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CF Os Belenenses are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AVS hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (61.4 v 34.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.2% in the Segunda Liga, while AVS holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AVS

Probability

70.2%

Model confidence

70.2%

AVS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AVSDWWWD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CF Os BelenensesWLWLL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AVSCF Os Belenenses
49.0Attack27.5
66.7Defence42.2
62.7Form25.5
61.4Power34.4
1.98xG0.46
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