Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Avro are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Leek Town are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Avro hold a 51.2-point power-rating edge (87.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Avro holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avro
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
11.1%
Avro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00