Avrovs
Guiseley AFC
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guiseley AFC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Avro 0-1 Guiseley AFC
Original prediction
Guiseley AFC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.6% | 35.1% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.2% | 24.0% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.2% | 40.9% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Guiseley AFC
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Guiseley AFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80