Avrovs
Ashton United
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 10/21/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avro · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Avro 3-2 Ashton United
Original prediction
Avro
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.3% | 55.3% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.2% | 21.6% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.66 | 24.5% | 23.1% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Avro
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Avro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60