Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avranches · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Avranches are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Angoulême are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.8 against 51.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the National 2 - Group B, while Avranches holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avranches
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
14.2%
Avranches has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20