GGOALVIO

Avondale logoAvondalevsMelbourne City II logoMelbourne City II

COMPLETED

Australia · Victoria NPL · 4/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avondale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Avondale are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Melbourne City II are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Avondale hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the Victoria NPL, while Avondale holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avondale

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

56.3%

Avondale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AvondaleWDLWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne City IIDDDWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
AvondaleMelbourne City II
84.7Attack56.5
52.8Defence56.5
56.9Form43.5
61.1Power50.9
2.48xG1.44
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