Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avondale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Avondale are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hume City are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Hume City hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 63.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Victoria NPL, while Avondale holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avondale
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Avondale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/1.00
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00