Avondalevs
Green Gully
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL · 2/28/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avondale · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Avondale are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Green Gully are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Avondale hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 29.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.8% in the Victoria NPL, while Avondale holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avondale
Probability
88.8%
Model confidence
88.8%
Avondale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60