GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 3/14/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avondale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Avondale are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dandenong City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Avondale hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Victoria NPL, while Avondale holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avondale

Probability

61.5%

Model confidence

10.0%

Avondale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AvondaleWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Dandenong CityDWLDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AvondaleDandenong City
84.7Attack44.4
52.8Defence59.7
56.9Form45.8
61.1Power51.1
2.30xG1.14
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