Avondalevs
Broadmeadow Magic
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australian Championship · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avondale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Avondale 1-2 Broadmeadow Magic
Original prediction
Avondale
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.22 | 75.4% | 48.3% | -27.1 pts |
| Draw | 6.13 | 15.0% | 24.3% | 9.3 pts |
| Away | 9.51 | 9.6% | 27.4% | 17.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Avondale
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Avondale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20