Avispa Fukuokavs
Yokohama FC
COMPLETEDJapan · Emperor Cup · 10/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yokohama FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Yokohama FC
Original prediction
Yokohama FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.7% | 35.1% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.5% | 27.9% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.8% | 37.1% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Yokohama FC
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Yokohama FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40