Avispa Fukuokavs
Verspah Oita
COMPLETEDJapan · Emperor Cup · 8/26/2026, 11:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avispa Fukuoka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Verspah Oita
Original prediction
Avispa Fukuoka
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 84.3% | 49.8% | -34.5 pts |
| Draw | 8.58 | 10.7% | 24.1% | 13.4 pts |
| Away | 18.32 | 5.0% | 26.1% | 21.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 7.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-34.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Avispa Fukuoka
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Avispa Fukuoka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.33/4.33