Avispa FukuokavsV-varen Nagasaki

Avispa Fukuoka are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while V-varen Nagasaki are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Avispa Fukuoka hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the J1 League, while Avispa Fukuoka holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.