Avispa Fukuokavs
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 4/29/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Avispa Fukuoka are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold a 36.5-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the J1 League, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00