GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 4/29/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Avispa Fukuoka are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sanfrecce Hiroshima hold a 36.5-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 95.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the J1 League, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Avispa FukuokaLWDWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sanfrecce HiroshimaWWDLL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Avispa FukuokaSanfrecce Hiroshima
50.0Attack100.0
83.3Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
59.3Power95.8
1.21xG1.44
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