Avispa Fukuokavs
Nagoya Grampus
COMPLETEDJapan · J1 League · 3/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avispa Fukuoka · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Avispa Fukuoka are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nagoya Grampus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Avispa Fukuoka hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the J1 League, while Avispa Fukuoka holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avispa Fukuoka
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
12.8%
Avispa Fukuoka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80