Avispa Fukuokavs
Kashiwa Reysol
COMPLETEDJapan · J-League Cup · 3/26/2023, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avispa Fukuoka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Avispa Fukuoka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Kashiwa Reysol are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Avispa Fukuoka hold a 28.8-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the J-League Cup, while Avispa Fukuoka holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avispa Fukuoka
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Avispa Fukuoka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40