GGOALVIO

Japan · J-League Cup · 3/8/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avispa Fukuoka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Avispa Fukuoka are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Albirex Niigata are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Avispa Fukuoka hold a 26.0-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the J-League Cup, while Avispa Fukuoka holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avispa Fukuoka

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

50.5%

Avispa Fukuoka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Avispa FukuokaWWL

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Albirex NiigataDWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.67

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Avispa FukuokaAlbirex Niigata
45.5Attack33.3
75.8Defence55.6
75.8Form33.3
68.8Power42.8
1.48xG0.54
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