Avispa Fukuokavs
Albirex Niigata
COMPLETEDJapan · J-League Cup · 3/8/2023, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avispa Fukuoka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Avispa Fukuoka are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Albirex Niigata are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Avispa Fukuoka hold a 26.0-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the J-League Cup, while Avispa Fukuoka holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avispa Fukuoka
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Avispa Fukuoka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.67
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.67