Avia Świdnikvs
Znicz Pruszków
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/25/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Znicz Pruszków · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Avia Świdnik 0-2 Znicz Pruszków
Original prediction
Znicz Pruszków
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.1% | 25.8% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.0% | 25.0% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 37.9% | 49.1% | 11.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Znicz Pruszków
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Znicz Pruszków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80