Avia Świdnikvs
Świt Skolwin
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avia Świdnik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Avia Świdnik 1-0 Świt Skolwin
Original prediction
Avia Świdnik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.1% | 48.5% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.4% | 26.4% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 23.5% | 25.1% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Avia Świdnik
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Avia Świdnik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40