Avia Świdnikvs
Lechia Zielona Góra
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 8/29/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avia Świdnik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Avia Świdnik 1-3 Lechia Zielona Góra
Original prediction
Avia Świdnik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.9% | 44.5% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.8% | 26.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.56 | 25.4% | 29.0% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Avia Świdnik
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Avia Świdnik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40