Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 202613:00Updated today
Avia Świdnik

Avia Świdnik

Home
WD
vs
13:00
KSZO 1929

KSZO 1929

Away
WL
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Avia Świdnik40%
Draw35%
KSZO 192925%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Avia Świdnik
40%
Draw
35%
KSZO 1929
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Avia Świdnik
94
KSZO 1929
34
Defence
Avia Świdnik
66
KSZO 1929
66
Momentum
Avia Świdnik
67
KSZO 1929
50
Danger (xG)
Avia Świdnik
2.70
KSZO 1929
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 3.05 xG for Avia Świdnik and 0.55 xG for KSZO 1929. KSZO 1929's projected xG of 0.55 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Avia Świdnik's Defensive Stability Score (66) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (34). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.60 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Avia Świdnik's Defensive Stability (66) and KSZO 1929's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Avia Świdnik)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (KSZO 1929)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Avia Świdnik)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (KSZO 1929)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Avia ŚwidnikAvia Świdnik
WD
KSZO 1929KSZO 1929
WL

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Avia Świdnik40%
Draw35%
KSZO 192925%

Avia Świdnik leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Avia Świdnik Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Avia Świdnik host KSZO 1929 in Friendlies Clubs. Avia Świdnik have recorded WWWDWW in recent matches while KSZO 1929 arrive with a run of LLWDLW. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 3.05 for Avia Świdnik and 0.55 for KSZO 1929. The gap of 2.50 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 5 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Avia Świdnik have been conceding 1.52 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • These sides have drawn 3 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Recent form

Avia Świdnik

Avia Świdnik

W
vs Korona Kielce II
16 May 2026
51
D
@ Star Starachowice
13 May 2026
11
KSZO 1929

KSZO 1929

W
vs Sokół Kolb.
16 May 2026
21
L
@ Chełmianka Chełm
13 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Avia Świdnik vs KSZO 1929?

GoalVio's model predicts Avia Świdnik to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Avia Świdnik vs KSZO 1929?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Avia Świdnik vs KSZO 1929?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Avia Świdnik vs KSZO 1929?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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