Avellinovs
SS Monopoli
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie C · 10/4/2023, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avellino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Avellino are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while SS Monopoli are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Avellino hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (72.5 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Avellino holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avellino
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Avellino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60