Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avellino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Avellino are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded, while Foggia are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 7 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Avellino hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (62.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the Serie C - Girone C, while Avellino holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avellino
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Avellino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.75
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.33/1.00