Avellino U19vs
Latina U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avellino U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Avellino U19 3-1 Latina U19
Original prediction
Avellino U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.0% | 42.2% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.1% | 26.1% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.88 | 22.9% | 31.8% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Avellino U19
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Avellino U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.67/2.33