Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Holstebro · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Avarta are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Holstebro are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Holstebro hold a 33.9-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 76.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the 3. Division, while Holstebro holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Holstebro
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Holstebro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80