GGOALVIO

Denmark · 3. Division · 8/25/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Holbæk B&I · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Avarta are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Holbæk B&I are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Holbæk B&I hold a 28.0-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the 3. Division, while Holbæk B&I holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Holbæk B&I

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Holbæk B&I has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AvartaDLLDL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Holbæk B&IDLDLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AvartaHolbæk B&I
30.2Attack66.7
53.1Defence55.6
38.5Form77.8
42.7Power70.7
0.85xG1.53
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