Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avarta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Avarta are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hillerød are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hillerød hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the DBU Pokalen, while Avarta holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avarta
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
7.6%
Avarta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 20 · GA 10 · avg 4.00/2.00