Avangard Kurskvs
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 10/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volna Nizhegorodskaya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 0-2 (15%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Avangard Kursk 0-0 Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Original prediction
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.59 | 13.7% | 13.6% | -0.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.23 | 21.3% | 21.3% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 1.39 | 65.0% | 65.1% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.0–215%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
Volna Nizhegorodskaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80