Avangard Kurskvs
Salyut-Belgorod
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 9/12/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salyut-Belgorod · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Avangard Kursk 1-3 Salyut-Belgorod
Original prediction
Salyut-Belgorod
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 26.6% | 23.8% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.9% | 26.2% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 44.6% | 50.0% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Salyut-Belgorod
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Salyut-Belgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00