Avangard Kurskvs
Rotor-2
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 9/26/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avangard Kursk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Avangard Kursk 1-0 Rotor-2, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Avangard Kursk 1-1 Rotor-2
Original prediction
Avangard Kursk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 56.6% | 53.6% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.8% | 26.2% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.93 | 18.6% | 20.1% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Projected Score
Avangard Kursk 1–0 Rotor-2
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Avangard Kursk
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Avangard Kursk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60