GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 7/22/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Avangard Kursk are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Rodina Moskva II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rodina Moskva II hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 57.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Second League A - Division A Silver, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Avangard KurskWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rodina Moskva IIWWLLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Avangard KurskRodina Moskva II
50.0Attack31.5
64.8Defence75.9
46.3Form59.3
53.8Power57.6
0.80xG0.62
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