GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Avangard Kursk are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Novosibirsk are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Novosibirsk hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 63.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Second League A - Division A Silver, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Avangard KurskWWWDW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
NovosibirskWDWDW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Avangard KurskNovosibirsk
50.0Attack40.7
64.8Defence75.9
46.3Form64.8
53.8Power63.0
0.79xG0.81
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