GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 5/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metallurg Lipetsk · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Avangard Kursk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Metallurg Lipetsk are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Metallurg Lipetsk hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Second League - Group 3, while Metallurg Lipetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metallurg Lipetsk

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Metallurg Lipetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Avangard KurskLWWWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Metallurg LipetskWLWLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Avangard KurskMetallurg Lipetsk
42.1Attack66.7
59.6Defence61.4
47.4Form61.4
51.0Power63.7
1.01xG1.53
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