Avangard Kurskvs
Metallurg Lipetsk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 5/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metallurg Lipetsk · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Avangard Kursk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Metallurg Lipetsk are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Metallurg Lipetsk hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Second League - Group 3, while Metallurg Lipetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Metallurg Lipetsk
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Metallurg Lipetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40