GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/25/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kaluga · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Avangard Kursk 1-2 Kaluga

Original prediction

Kaluga

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–110%
  3. 3.1–29%

Predicted outcome

Kaluga

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Kaluga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Avangard KurskLWDDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
KalugaLDWDL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Avangard KurskKaluga
33.3Attack100.0
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power97.0
1.15xG1.45
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