Avangard KurskvsKaluga

Avangard Kursk are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kaluga are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Kaluga hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Cup, while Kaluga holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.