GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 7/16/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avangard Kursk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Avangard Kursk are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (DWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Chertanovo Moscow are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Avangard Kursk hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (53.8 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Second League A - Division A Silver, while Avangard Kursk holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avangard Kursk

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Avangard Kursk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Avangard KurskDWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Chertanovo MoscowDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Avangard KurskChertanovo Moscow
50.0Attack38.9
64.8Defence66.7
46.3Form40.7
53.8Power49.0
1.08xG0.74
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