Avangard Kurskvs
Arsenal Tula II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 4/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avangard Kursk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Avangard Kursk are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Arsenal Tula II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Avangard Kursk hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 28.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Second League - Group 3, while Avangard Kursk holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avangard Kursk
Probability
70.7%
Model confidence
14.3%
Avangard Kursk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80