GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 4/18/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avangard Kursk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Avangard Kursk are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Arsenal Tula II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Avangard Kursk hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 28.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Second League - Group 3, while Avangard Kursk holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avangard Kursk

Probability

70.7%

Model confidence

14.3%

Avangard Kursk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Avangard KurskDLDLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Arsenal Tula IILDLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Avangard KurskArsenal Tula II
42.6Attack29.6
57.4Defence25.9
44.4Form20.4
49.4Power28.8
2.16xG0.65
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