Avaivs
Ponte Preta
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 4/18/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avai · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Avai are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ponte Preta are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Avai hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (42.6 v 28.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.5% in the Serie B, while Avai holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avai
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
18.5%
Avai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20