Avaivs
Novorizontino
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 5/3/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novorizontino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Avai are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Novorizontino are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Novorizontino hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (42.6 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.3% in the Serie B, while Novorizontino holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Novorizontino
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
17.3%
Novorizontino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60