GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 5/3/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Novorizontino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Avai are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Novorizontino are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Novorizontino hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (42.6 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.3% in the Serie B, while Novorizontino holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Novorizontino

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

17.3%

Novorizontino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AvaiLLDDW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NovorizontinoLWWDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AvaiNovorizontino
33.3Attack50.8
55.6Defence68.3
31.7Form52.4
42.6Power57.5
0.65xG1.29
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