Serie B
Avai
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Nautico Recife
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Avai leads with 54% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Avai head into this in Serie B fixture at Ressacada in mixed form (DWL), while Nautico Recife arrive in mixed form (LL). Avai have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for Nautico Recife over 2 games.
The model rates Avai's attack at 47/100 against a 27/100 Nautico Recife defence, and Nautico Recife's attack at 18/100 against a 53/100 Avai backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
Avai have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Nautico Recife have won 1 of their last 4 away fixtures, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away game.
Avai have generated 1.13 xG per game recently while conceding 0.86 xG per match. Nautico Recife have generated 1.01 xG per game recently while conceding 2.08 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
Avai have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 2.0 goals per game.
The GoalVio engine projects Avai to win with 54% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Avai 5412%, Draw 2609%, Nautico Recife 1979%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
Head to head
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Avai
Nautico Recife
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Avai vs Nautico Recife?
GoalVio's model predicts Avai to win with 54% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Avai vs Nautico Recife?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Avai vs Nautico Recife?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Avai vs Nautico Recife?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.