Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Avai are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Mirassol are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mirassol hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (42.6 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.33/2.33
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00