Avaivs
Botafogo SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Avai 0-0 Botafogo SP, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Avai 0-2 Botafogo SP
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 40.3% | 33.2% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.7% | 31.3% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.9% | 35.5% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Projected Score
Avai 0–0 Botafogo SP
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.3%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AvaiDWWLL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Botafogo SPWWWLW
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AvaiBotafogo SP
32.4Attack37.3
57.8Defence62.7
36.3Form43.1
44.6Power49.5
0.76xG0.87