Avaivs
Atletico Goianiense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Avai 0-0 Atletico Goianiense, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Avai 0-1 Atletico Goianiense
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 37.9% | 32.4% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.7% | 31.4% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 31.4% | 36.2% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Projected Score
Avai 0–0 Atletico Goianiense
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.4%
Model confidence
36.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AvaiWWWLL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico GoianienseWDLDW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AvaiAtletico Goianiense
37.5Attack37.5
58.3Defence68.1
40.3Form50.0
47.6Power53.8
0.76xG0.87